Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.65
Edge
-11.2%
Trending splitsvs LHP 17%(6)
Last 15
0%0/14 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
0.47
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/9
L20
5%
1/19
2026
5%
1/21
Avg0.90
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 62% · n=10 · -140 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=154 · -247 DraftKings
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=144 · -235 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=144 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 2

official box scores
0@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/170@ CHC06/191@ CHC06/201vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/241vs TEX06/250vs TEX06/261vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/302vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/050@ SF07/062

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-172+129

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060