Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alejandro Kirk

Toronto Blue Jays · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.55
Edge
-7.9%
Last 20
20%3/15 over 1 · 5 push
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
13%
1/8
L20
20%
3/15
2026
19%
3/16
Avg0.50
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.316.3685.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.143.14336.4%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.111.44428.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.111.11125.0%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.000.0007.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Alejandro Kirk clears 0.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=107 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=100 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=58 · -198 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
1vs COL03/300vs COL04/010@ CWS04/030vs NYY06/121vs NYY06/141@ BOS06/162@ BOS06/172@ CHC06/190@ CHC06/200vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/251vs TEX06/262vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/280vs NYM06/300vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/031@ SEA07/050@ SF07/061

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

George Springer TOR07/080
Ernie Clement TOR07/080
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/080
Daulton Varsho TOR07/080
Nathan Lukes TOR07/080
Sean Keys TOR07/071
Jonatan Clase TOR07/071
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.667.000.500.000.182.000.333.286.000
Exit Velo
76.8090.4377.4887.3993.2892.1299.7888.3372.75
onBasePercentage
.667.000.500.000.182.000.286.286.000
sluggingPercentage
.667.000.500.000.455.000.500.714.000
OPS
1.333.0001.000.000.636.000.7141.000.000