Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.52
Edge
+3.1%Last 15
60%9/15 over 5.5
Window avg
6.47
Median
6.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
50%
5/10
Avg5.90
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when George Kirby clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 57% · n=23 · -238 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=13 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 50% · n=24 · +106 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 15 vs 5.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | +113 | -144 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +122 | -154 |
| PrizePicks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 5.5 | +145 | -143 |
Line movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKingsPrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs MIA — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Bryan Woo SEA | 07/07 | 5 | ✗ |
| Gage Jump OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Aaron Civale OAK | 07/04 | 6 | ✓ |
| Jack Perkins OAK | 07/03 | 8 | ✓ |
| Michael Lorenzen COL | 07/02 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kyle Freeland COL | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Tanner Gordon COL | 06/30 | 4 | ✗ |
| Sean Sullivan COL | 06/29 | 5 | ✗ |
| Kyle Leahy STL | 06/28 | 5 | ✗ |
| Andre Pallante STL | 06/27 | 4 | ✗ |
| Michael McGreevy STL | 06/26 | 4 | ✗ |
| Jacob deGrom TEX | 06/24 | 8 | ✓ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 06/23 | 1 | ✗ |
| Tyler Alexander TEX | 06/22 | 1 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Sweeper29.9% · 87.1 mph
Four-seam FB29.4% · 96.7 mph
Sinker21.0% · 96.9 mph
Knuckle Curve9.9% · 83.8 mph
Changeup6.7% · 88.7 mph
Cutter3.0% · 93.2 mph