Tonight's line
5.5
Model proj
5.52
Edge
+3.1%Last 20
40%8/20 over 5.5
Window avg
5.20
Median
5.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
41%
7/17
Avg5.56
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when George Kirby clears 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts, these hit too
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 57% · n=23 · -238 DraftKings
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=13 · -178 DraftKings
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=13 · -193 DraftKings
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 58% · n=17 · -258 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Pitcher Strikeouts — last 20 vs 5.5
official box scoresLine movement — Pitcher Strikeouts
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
FanDuelDraftKings
League vs MIA — Pitcher Strikeouts, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 5.5
| Bryan Woo SEA | 07/07 | 5 | ✗ |
| Gage Jump OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Aaron Civale OAK | 07/04 | 6 | ✓ |
| Jack Perkins OAK | 07/03 | 8 | ✓ |
| Michael Lorenzen COL | 07/02 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kyle Freeland COL | 07/01 | 7 | ✓ |
| Tanner Gordon COL | 06/30 | 4 | ✗ |
| Sean Sullivan COL | 06/29 | 5 | ✗ |
| Kyle Leahy STL | 06/28 | 5 | ✗ |
| Andre Pallante STL | 06/27 | 4 | ✗ |
| Michael McGreevy STL | 06/26 | 4 | ✗ |
| Jacob deGrom TEX | 06/24 | 8 | ✓ |
| Cal Quantrill TEX | 06/23 | 1 | ✗ |
| Tyler Alexander TEX | 06/22 | 1 | ✗ |
Pitch arsenal — 2026
Usage share and average velocity by pitch type.
Sweeper29.9% · 87.1 mph
Four-seam FB29.4% · 96.7 mph
Sinker21.0% · 96.9 mph
Knuckle Curve9.9% · 83.8 mph
Changeup6.7% · 88.7 mph
Cutter3.0% · 93.2 mph