Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.80
Edge
-11.5%
All 204 games
70%143/204 over 0.5
Window avg
1.09
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
57%
25/44
Avg1.09
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=244 · -235 DraftKings
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=204 · -149 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 204 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
3vs CLE04/260vs BOS04/272vs BOS04/283vs BOS04/290vs LAA05/082vs LAA05/090vs LAA05/100vs TB05/111vs TB05/120vs TB05/131vs PIT05/222vs PIT05/230vs PIT05/242vs MIA05/270vs BAL06/050vs BAL06/060vs BAL06/070vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/091vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/122vs HOU06/221vs HOU06/230vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/260vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/291vs NYM07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-247+182

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060