Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.81
Edge
-11.1%
Last 30
4%1/26 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
0.77
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/16
2026
10%
7/72
Avg1.17
StreakL10

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.361.4468.0%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.314.45730.5%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.300.36720.8%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.352.48117.3%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.100.20027.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=245 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=205 · -147 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 2

official box scores
1@ ATL06/020@ ATL06/033@ ATL06/040vs BAL06/050vs BAL06/060vs BAL06/070vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/091vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/120@ BOS06/162@ BOS06/171@ BOS06/180@ CHC06/192@ CHC06/202vs HOU06/221vs HOU06/230vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/260vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/291vs NYM07/011@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/050@ SF07/061@ SF07/071@ SF07/082

Tonight's odds — Hits

No live odds right now.

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/082
Daulton Varsho TOR07/082
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
George Springer TOR07/081
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/081
Andrés Giménez TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.316.227.357.189.300.300.727.320.156
sluggingPercentage
.368.286.429.243.359.4831.700.360.161
AVG
.316.238.357.189.308.310.700.320.161
OPS
.684.500.786.432.650.7672.273.680.313
Exit Velo
87.9793.38100.1986.9499.2290.38103.3092.5384.15