Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Toronto Blue Jays · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.80
Edge
-11.5%
Last 20
33%4/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/2
L10
20%
1/5
L20
33%
4/12
2026
40%
23/57
Avg1.17
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=244 · -235 DraftKings
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=204 · -149 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
1vs NYY06/120@ BOS06/162@ BOS06/171@ BOS06/180@ CHC06/192@ CHC06/202vs HOU06/221vs HOU06/230vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/260vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/291vs NYM07/011@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/041@ SEA07/050@ SF07/061@ SF07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-247+182

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060