Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.80
Edge
-11.5%Trending splitsvs RHP 50%(40)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
61%
53/87
Avg1.17
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Vladimir Guerrero Jr. clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=244 · -235 DraftKings
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=204 · -149 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |