Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Manny Machado

San Diego Padres · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-9.8%
Last 20
0%0/17 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/17
2026
0%
0/37
Avg1.00
StreakL5

Parlay pairs — when Manny Machado clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=221 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=213 · -162 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2

away only · official box scores
0@ WSH05/310@ PHI06/021@ PHI06/031@ PHI06/042@ BAL06/121@ BAL06/130@ BAL06/141@ STL06/150@ STL06/161@ STL06/170@ TEX06/192@ TEX06/201@ TEX06/210@ CHC06/292@ CHC06/301@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/052

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-180+135

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Rodolfo Durán SD07/060