Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-9.8%Last 20
33%4/12 over 1 · 8 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
33%
2/6
L20
33%
4/12
2026
24%
13/55
Avg0.98
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Manny Machado clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=221 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=213 · -162 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |