Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Manny Machado

San Diego Padres · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-9.8%
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
53%
47/89
Avg0.98
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Manny Machado clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=221 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=213 · -162 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ STL06/161@ STL06/170@ TEX06/192@ TEX06/201@ TEX06/212vs ATL06/221vs ATL06/230vs ATL06/241vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/272vs LAD06/280@ CHC06/292@ CHC06/301@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/041@ LAD07/051vs AZ07/060vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-180+135

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060