Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Manny Machado

San Diego Padres · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-9.8%
Trending splitsNight 48%(40)
Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
57%
12/21
Avg1.06
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Manny Machado clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=221 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=213 · -162 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET03/270@ BOS04/042@ BOS04/050@ LAA04/183vs CHC04/271vs CWS05/012vs CWS05/030vs STL05/071@ MIL05/141vs OAK05/220vs PHI05/250vs PHI05/272@ WSH05/301@ PHI06/030vs CIN06/080@ BAL06/142@ TEX06/200vs ATL06/240@ CHC06/292@ CHC06/300.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-180+135

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/062
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Rodolfo Durán SD07/060