Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-9.8%Last 20
17%3/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
25%
2/8
L20
17%
3/18
2026
0%
0/3
Avg1.20
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .467 | 1.000 | 17.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .245 | .574 | 26.2% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .105 | .211 | 39.6% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .087 | .130 | 30.2% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .135 | .243 | 26.8% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .174 | .319 | 18.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Manny Machado clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=221 · -206 DraftKings
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 58% · n=213 · -141 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 2
vs AZ only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Cronenworth SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Rodolfo Durán SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo