Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

George Springer

Toronto Blue Jays · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.94
Edge
-4.6%
Last 20
50%10/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
59%
23/39
Avg0.97
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.157.19613.3%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.238.42931.7%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.161.25826.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.233.43322.8%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.333.72215.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=219 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=197 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=146 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs PIT05/240vs MIA05/253vs MIA05/260vs MIA05/272vs BAL06/050vs BAL06/060vs BAL06/070vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/120vs NYY06/132vs NYY06/142vs HOU06/221vs HOU06/230vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/250vs TEX06/262vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/291vs NYM06/300.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-235+174
dabble_us_dfs0.5-208+211

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.300.222.133.364.222.237.333.364.300
sluggingPercentage
.400.556.214.455.500.316.625.636.367
AVG
.300.222.143.364.222.237.250.364.300
OPS
.700.778.333.818.722.553.8891.000.667
Exit Velo
67.7186.1394.7585.5392.9393.1989.0491.4890.12