Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

George Springer

Toronto Blue Jays · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
-6.6%
Trending splitsDay 56%(27)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
16/25
Avg0.94
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.157.19613.3%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.238.42931.7%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.161.25826.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.233.43322.8%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.333.72215.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=219 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=197 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=146 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
0@ MIN05/020@ TB05/050@ TB05/060@ DET05/150@ DET05/162@ NYY05/181@ NYY05/191@ NYY05/201@ NYY05/211@ BAL05/281@ BAL05/291@ BAL05/300@ ATL06/021@ ATL06/042@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/172@ BOS06/182@ CHC06/191@ CHC06/200@ SF07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-235+174
dabble_us_dfs0.5-208+211

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nathan Lukes TOR07/081
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/081
Daulton Varsho TOR07/081
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/080
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/080
Andrés Giménez TOR07/080
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.300.222.133.364.222.237.333.364.300
sluggingPercentage
.400.556.214.455.500.316.625.636.367
AVG
.300.222.143.364.222.237.250.364.300
OPS
.700.778.333.818.722.553.8891.000.667
Exit Velo
67.7186.1394.7585.5392.9393.1989.0491.4890.12