Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.46
Edge
+1.6%All 362 games
53%150/283 over 1 · 79 push
Window avg
1.68
Median
1.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
57%
4/7
L20
50%
8/16
2026
51%
25/49
Avg1.68
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | .157 | .196 | 13.3% |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | .238 | .429 | 31.7% |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | .161 | .258 | 26.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | .233 | .433 | 22.8% |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | .333 | .722 | 15.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 70% · n=143 · -247 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=130 · -240 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 60% · n=105 · -172 DraftKings
Andrés Giménez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=83 · -130 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 362 games vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs SF — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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