Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.57
Edge
+2.2%Trending splitsvs LHP 20%(10)
Last 20
10%1/10 over 1 · 10 push
Window avg
0.65
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/1
L10
0%
0/3
L20
10%
1/10
2026
7%
3/41
Avg0.62
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 31.6% | 92.2 | .157 | .196 | 13.3% |
| Changeup | 24.0% | 86.1 | .238 | .429 | 31.7% |
| Sweeper | 19.2% | 84.2 | .161 | .258 | 26.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 13.2% | 92.4 | .233 | .433 | 22.8% |
| Cutter | 12.0% | 89.9 | .333 | .722 | 15.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 70% · n=155 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=108 · -172 DraftKings
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 58% · n=90 · -198 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +142 | -141 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs SF — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/08 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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