Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-4.6%Trending splitsvs LHP 30%(10)
Last 20
36%4/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
60%
3/5
L20
36%
4/11
2026
38%
5/13
Avg0.95
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=219 · -247 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=197 · -240 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=146 · -172 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |