Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-4.6%Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
62%
28/45
Avg0.98
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=219 · -247 DraftKings
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=197 · -240 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=146 · -172 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daulton Varsho TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |