Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

George Springer

Toronto Blue Jays · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
-4.0%
Last 5
100%5/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
86%
6/7
L20
86%
6/7
2026
100%
1/1
Avg1.43
StreakW6

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.157.19613.3%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.238.42931.7%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.161.25826.6%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.233.43322.8%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.333.72215.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when George Springer clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 88% · base 83% · n=8 · -139 dabble_us_dfs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=220 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=198 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=147 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

vs SF only · official box scores
1@ SF07/113vs SF07/181vs SF07/192vs SF07/201@ SF07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

No live odds right now.

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/082
Daulton Varsho TOR07/082
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/081
Andrés Giménez TOR07/081
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/081
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.300.222.133.364.222.237.333.364.300
sluggingPercentage
.400.556.214.455.500.316.625.636.367
AVG
.300.222.143.364.222.237.250.364.300
OPS
.700.778.333.818.722.553.8891.000.667
Exit Velo
67.7186.1394.7585.5392.9393.1989.0491.4890.12