Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Joc Pederson

Texas Rangers · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-13.8%
Trending splitsvs LHP 27%(15)
Last 10
50%5/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
35%
29/83
Avg0.40
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.195.36631.0%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.273.50024.5%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.260.54827.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.231.46244.4%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Joc Pederson clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Josh Jung o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=49 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 59% · n=27 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 60% · n=41 · -145 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ MIA06/231@ MIA06/242@ TOR06/250@ TOR06/271@ TOR06/281@ CLE06/300@ CLE07/010vs DET07/040vs DET07/050vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+126-125

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6PrizePicksdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alejandro Osuna TEX07/072
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Evan Carter TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/070
Elias Díaz TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Caleb Durbin BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Jarren Duran BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.682.412.8001.0401.368.923.667.960.333
AVG
.286.176.400.320.444.231.292.240.100
onBasePercentage
.273.176.400.320.421.231.292.240.250
sluggingPercentage
.429.235.400.7201.000.692.375.720.100
Exit Velo
97.8193.0981.9892.1896.7085.6090.5394.88100.74