Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Joc Pederson

Texas Rangers · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-13.8%
Trending splitsvs RHP 43%(40)
Last 20
25%5/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
30%
8/27
Avg0.38
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.195.36631.0%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.273.50024.5%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.260.54827.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.231.46244.4%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Joc Pederson clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Josh Jung o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=49 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 59% · n=27 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 60% · n=41 · -145 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ SEA04/190vs OAK04/260vs NYY04/290@ NYY05/070vs CHC05/101@ HOU05/171@ COL05/201vs KC05/300vs KC05/310vs CLE06/070@ BOS06/130vs MIN06/180vs SD06/200vs SD06/211@ MIA06/240@ TOR06/271@ TOR06/280@ CLE07/010vs DET07/040vs DET07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+126-125

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6PrizePicksdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alejandro Osuna TEX07/072
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Evan Carter TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Elias Díaz TEX07/070
Nicky Lopez TEX07/070
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/051
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Jarren Duran BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.682.412.8001.0401.368.923.667.960.333
AVG
.286.176.400.320.444.231.292.240.100
onBasePercentage
.273.176.400.320.421.231.292.240.250
sluggingPercentage
.429.235.400.7201.000.692.375.720.100
Exit Velo
97.8193.0981.9892.1896.7085.6090.5394.88100.74