Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Joc Pederson

Texas Rangers · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.72
Edge
-8.5%
Last 30
8%2/26 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
11%
1/9
L20
6%
1/16
2026
6%
5/78
Avg0.66
StreakL7

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.195.36631.0%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.273.50024.5%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.260.54827.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2.231.46244.4%
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Joc Pederson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=60 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=44 · -137 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 2

official box scores
1vs KC05/300vs KC05/311@ STL06/013@ STL06/021@ STL06/030vs CLE06/050vs CLE06/060vs CLE06/071@ KC06/090@ KC06/102@ BOS06/120@ BOS06/130@ BOS06/142vs MIN06/151vs MIN06/160vs MIN06/180vs SD06/190vs SD06/200vs SD06/212@ MIA06/223@ MIA06/231@ MIA06/242@ TOR06/250@ TOR06/271@ TOR06/281@ CLE06/300@ CLE07/011vs DET07/041vs DET07/050vs LAA07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-177+133
dabble_us_dfs0.5-135+137

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.682.412.8001.0401.368.923.667.960.333
AVG
.286.176.400.320.444.231.292.240.100
onBasePercentage
.273.176.400.320.421.231.292.240.250
sluggingPercentage
.429.235.400.7201.000.692.375.720.100
Exit Velo
97.8193.0981.9892.1896.7085.6090.5394.88100.74