Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Joc Pederson

Texas Rangers · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.72
Edge
-8.5%
Last 20
6%1/16 over 2 · 4 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
11%
1/9
L20
6%
1/16
2026
6%
5/78
Avg0.66
StreakL7

Parlay pairs — when Joc Pederson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 60% · n=60 · -216 DraftKings
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=44 · -161 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
2@ BOS06/120@ BOS06/130@ BOS06/142vs MIN06/151vs MIN06/160vs MIN06/180vs SD06/190vs SD06/200vs SD06/212@ MIA06/223@ MIA06/231@ MIA06/242@ TOR06/250@ TOR06/271@ TOR06/281@ CLE06/300@ CLE07/011vs DET07/041vs DET07/050vs LAA07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-177+133

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.429.250.400.7201.059.692.375.720.100
Exit Velo
97.8192.5781.9892.1896.8485.6090.5394.88100.74
AVG
.286.188.400.320.471.231.292.240.100
onBasePercentage
.273.188.400.320.444.231.292.240.250
OPS
.682.438.8001.0401.444.923.667.960.333