Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
-0.9%Trending splitsAway 43%(40)
Last 30
30%9/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.37
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
32%
12/38
Avg0.51
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .212 | .327 | 32.9% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .313 | .375 | 36.0% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .194 | .278 | 40.8% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .130 | .130 | 37.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Austin Riley clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Mauricio Dubón o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 71% · n=28 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=121 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=52 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Mauricio Dubón o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 64% · base 42% · n=28 · +179 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +179 | -175 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS