Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.78
Edge
-3.2%Last 6
67%4/6 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
2026
67%
2/3
Avg0.83
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Austin Riley clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=191 · -214 DraftKings
Dominic Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 52% · n=42 · -193 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=83 · -197 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 6 vs 0.5
home only · vs PIT only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage