Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.66
Edge
+2.5%All 239 games
40%96/239 over 0.5
Window avg
0.49
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
48%
25/52
Avg0.49
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats SwitchThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .284 | .580 | 20.1% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .333 | .467 | 21.4% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .240 | .400 | 17.3% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .238 | .310 | 17.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ozzie Albies clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 71% · n=148 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 64% · n=114 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=81 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 239 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +119 | -118 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs
League vs PIT — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS