Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.68
Edge
+5.3%Last 20
55%11/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.25
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
56%
10/18
Avg1.78
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Ozzie Albies clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 71% · n=132 · -214 DraftKings
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=104 · -159 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 63% · n=67 · -197 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs PIT — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage