Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.66
Edge
—Last 20
25%4/16 over 1 · 4 push
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
25%
4/16
2026
23%
6/26
Avg0.62
Streak—
Parlay pairs — when Ozzie Albies clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 71% · n=148 · -214 DraftKings
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 64% · n=114 · -159 DraftKings
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=81 · -197 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr PicksDK Pick6
League vs PIT — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage