Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Daulton Varsho

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%
Trending splitsDay 66%(32)
Last 10
60%6/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
57%
21/37
Avg0.83
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -247 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs MIA05/270vs BAL06/051vs HOU06/223vs HOU06/232vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/260vs TEX06/271vs TEX06/281vs NYM06/301vs NYM07/010.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-149+112

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060