Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Daulton Varsho

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%
Last 139
57%79/139 over 0.5
Window avg
0.81
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
62%
23/37
Avg0.81
StreakL5

Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -247 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 139 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
0@ LAA04/202@ LAA04/211@ LAA04/221@ MIN04/301@ MIN05/011@ MIN05/022@ MIN05/030@ TB05/041@ TB05/051@ TB05/060@ DET05/152@ DET05/162@ DET05/171@ NYY05/184@ NYY05/191@ NYY05/201@ NYY05/210@ BAL05/282@ BAL05/291@ BAL05/300@ BAL05/310@ ATL06/021@ ATL06/030@ ATL06/041@ CHC06/200@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/040@ SEA07/050@ SF07/060@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-149+112

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060