Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%All 175 games
56%98/175 over 0.5
Window avg
0.78
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
55%
23/42
Avg0.78
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -247 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 175 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |