Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%Last 54
65%35/54 over 0.5
Window avg
0.91
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
64%
9/14
Avg0.91
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -247 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 54 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs SF — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonatan Clase TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés Giménez TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Myles Straw TOR | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |