Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Daulton Varsho

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%
Last 15
67%10/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.80
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
64%
9/14
Avg0.91
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -247 DraftKings
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAD10/292vs OAK03/281vs LAD04/060@ LAA04/200vs CLE04/251vs BOS04/271vs BOS04/281@ MIN05/021@ TB05/060vs LAA05/080vs TB05/121@ NYY05/181@ NYY05/212@ BAL05/290@ ATL06/040.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-149+112

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060