Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Daulton Varsho

Toronto Blue Jays · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-4.2%
All 4 games
0%0/4 over 0.5
Window avg
0.00
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/4
L20
0%
0/4
2026
0%
0/2
Avg0.00
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.372.51215.3%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.227.36417.4%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.222.22225.8%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.182.38624.0%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.227.31813.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Daulton Varsho clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 72% · n=164 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 55% · n=96 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 4 games vs 0.5

vs SF only · official box scores
0@ SF07/090@ SF07/100@ SF07/060@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-149+112
dabble_us_dfs0.5-147+149

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.200.192.250.360.207.211.167.400.222
sluggingPercentage
.200.400.750.560.379.368.167.600.333
AVG
.200.200.250.360.207.211.167.400.222
OPS
.400.5771.000.920.586.579.3331.000.556
Exit Velo
93.3987.4778.6789.0993.5180.6283.4689.7386.85