Matt Olson

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.29

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last2025

Trending splits

Last 288

17%49/288 over 0.5

Window avg

0.19

Median

0.0

40%

2/5

L10

20%

2/10

L20

20%

4/20

2026

27%

18/67

Avg0.19

StreakL2

Home Runs — last 288 vs 0.5

official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Matt Olson clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Chris Sale o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

hits when he does 92% · base 88% · n=12 · -162 DraftKings

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 78% · base 68% · n=64 · -245 DraftKings

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 72% · base 64% · n=39 · -253 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+290	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5
5:00 AM ET	Caesars	1.5 → 0.5
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs STL — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brice Turang MIL

07/09

Olson's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .356 middle-middle · Weakness: .176 up-and-away

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

AVG

OPS

sluggingPercentage