Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Olson

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
+0.8%
Trending splitsDay 63%(24)
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
78%
35/45
Avg1.02
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Matt Olson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=206 · -159 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

away only · official box scores
1@ MIA05/200@ MIA05/211@ BOS05/260@ BOS05/272@ BOS05/282@ CIN05/291@ CIN05/300@ CIN05/312@ CWS06/091@ CWS06/101@ NYM06/121@ NYM06/131@ NYM06/141@ SD06/220@ SD06/232@ SD06/242@ SF06/260@ SF06/273@ SF06/281@ PIT07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
José Tena WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051
Dylan Crews WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
93.9095.6596.0391.83100.8093.4392.4298.2591.34
sluggingPercentage
.438.556.769.525.864.630.538.595.429
AVG
.188.259.231.275.364.296.269.351.190
OPS
.647.8151.000.8001.227.862.808.946.591
onBasePercentage
.235.259.231.275.364.276.269.351.182