Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
+0.8%Last 30
13%3/23 over 2 · 7 push
Window avg
1.17
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
13%
1/8
L20
13%
2/16
2026
7%
5/71
Avg0.99
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .248 | .545 | 24.7% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .333 | .641 | 33.3% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .167 | .472 | 26.1% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .258 | .323 | 22.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Matt Olson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=206 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 2
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Harris II ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS