Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Olson

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
+0.8%
Trending splitsDay 63%(24)
All 121 games
69%84/121 over 0.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
71%
27/38
Avg1.05
StreakW4

Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.0%
98.6.248.54524.7%
Slider
32.6%
90.2.333.64133.3%
Changeup
17.8%
93.4.167.47226.1%
Curveball
11.6%
85.7.258.32322.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Matt Olson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=206 · -152 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 121 games vs 0.5

official box scores
2vs DET04/290vs DET04/301@ COL05/011@ COL05/022@ COL05/032@ LAD05/091@ LAD05/101vs CHC05/130vs BOS05/150vs BOS05/162@ MIA05/190vs WSH05/221vs WSH05/241@ BOS05/260@ BOS05/272@ BOS05/280@ CIN05/313vs TOR06/030vs TOR06/040vs PIT06/072@ CWS06/091@ NYM06/133vs SF06/171vs MIL06/200vs MIL06/210@ SD06/232@ SD06/243@ SF06/281vs STL06/301vs NYM07/040.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159
dabble_us_dfs0.5-208+211

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
José Tena WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
CJ Abrams WSH07/051
Dylan Crews WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.222.259.214.275.356.276.269.351.217
AVG
.176.259.214.275.356.296.269.351.227
Exit Velo
93.9095.6595.3791.83100.9893.4392.4298.2591.84
sluggingPercentage
.412.556.714.525.844.630.538.595.500
OPS
.611.815.929.8001.200.862.808.946.696