Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Matt Olson

Atlanta Braves · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.04
Edge
+0.8%
Last 16
25%4/16 over 1.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
25%
4/16
2026
25%
1/4
Avg1.00
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Matt Olson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Austin Riley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=206 · -159 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 16 vs 1.5

vs PIT only · official box scores
0@ PIT05/241@ PIT05/253@ PIT05/262vs PIT06/280vs PIT06/291vs PIT06/300@ PIT05/091@ PIT05/101@ PIT05/111vs PIT09/260vs PIT09/272vs PIT09/282vs PIT06/051vs PIT06/060vs PIT06/071@ PIT07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-214+159

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs PIT Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Michael Harris II ATL07/072
Austin Riley ATL07/072
Mauricio Dubón ATL07/072
Jim Jarvis ATL07/071
Mike Yastrzemski ATL07/071
Ozzie Albies ATL07/071
Drake Baldwin ATL07/070
Dominic Smith ATL07/070
José Tena WSH07/052
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/052
Curtis Mead WSH07/052
Luis García Jr. WSH07/052
Dylan Crews WSH07/051
CJ Abrams WSH07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
93.9095.6596.0391.83100.8093.4392.4298.2591.34
sluggingPercentage
.438.556.769.525.864.630.538.595.429
AVG
.188.259.231.275.364.296.269.351.190
OPS
.647.8151.000.8001.227.862.808.946.591
onBasePercentage
.235.259.231.275.364.276.269.351.182