Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.28
Edge
+4.7%Last 20
35%7/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
32%
20/62
Avg1.04
StreakW4
Parlay pairs — when Michael Harris II clears 1.5 Hits, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=97 · -214 DraftKings
Dominic Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 52% · n=24 · -193 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs PIT — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage