Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.01
Edge
+11.0%Last 30
36%8/22 over 2 · 8 push
Window avg
1.87
Median
2.0
L5
100%
4/4
L10
44%
4/9
L20
35%
6/17
2026
33%
23/70
Avg1.70
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Jared Jones (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.0% | 98.6 | .298 | .526 | 21.1% |
| Slider | 32.6% | 90.2 | .255 | .471 | 30.4% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 93.4 | .383 | .596 | 31.0% |
| Curveball | 11.6% | 85.7 | .160 | .280 | 46.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Michael Harris II clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=140 · -208 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 30 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +104 | -138 |
| PrizePicks | 1.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Underdog | 1.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +120 | -120 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +105 | -135 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs PIT — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS