Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.01
Edge
+11.0%Last 5
60%3/5 over 1.5
Window avg
1.80
Median
2.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
58%
7/12
2026
100%
3/3
Avg1.92
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Michael Harris II clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Matt Olson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=140 · -214 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 1.5
vs PIT only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs PIT — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Austin Riley ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Mauricio Dubón ATL | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Matt Olson ATL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jim Jarvis ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Mike Yastrzemski ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ozzie Albies ATL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dominic Smith ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drake Baldwin ATL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Dylan Crews WSH | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| José Tena WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage