Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Amed Rosario

New York Yankees · PH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.59
Edge
-21.1%
All 214 games
0%1/205 over 3 · 9 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
2%
1/51
Avg0.85
StreakL22

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.139.19424.4%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.250.64330.9%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.278.61137.2%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.250.50041.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitsall 214 games vs 3

official box scores
0@ MIL05/081@ MIL05/091@ BAL05/121@ NYM05/160@ NYM05/170vs TOR05/180vs TOR05/204@ KC05/260@ KC05/270vs CLE06/020vs BOS06/051vs BOS06/070@ CLE06/081@ CLE06/100@ TOR06/120@ TOR06/141vs CWS06/170vs CIN06/201vs CIN06/211@ DET06/221@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/261@ BOS06/272@ BOS06/281vs DET06/290vs DET06/301vs DET07/010vs MIN07/040vs MIN07/050@ TB07/073

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-233+172
dabble_us_dfs0.5-172+173
BetOnline0.5-222+168

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Ryan McMahon NYY07/060
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/060
Trent Grisham NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
1.250.250.3331.222.667.133.429.500.222
Exit Velo
95.7188.6693.8491.5494.4988.1292.3399.3993.47
AVG
.375.250.333.444.333.133.286.286.222
onBasePercentage
.333.250.286.444.333.133.375.286.222
OPS
1.444.500.5711.6671.000.267.750.786.444