Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
-9.4%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
17%3/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
1.05
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
22%
2/9
L20
17%
3/18
2026
17%
8/46
Avg1.29
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.9% | 95.6 | .139 | .194 | 24.4% |
| Changeup | 28.8% | 87.0 | .250 | .643 | 30.9% |
| Slider | 20.0% | 88.3 | .278 | .611 | 37.2% |
| Curveball | 14.3% | 82.1 | .250 | .500 | 41.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Amed Rosario clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=15 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=21 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=21 · -123 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +126 | -168 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +167 | -164 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +130 | -169 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +125 | -165 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs TB — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/07 | 6 | ✓ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ali Sánchez NYY | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Max Schuemann NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Caballero NYY | 07/06 | 8 | ✓ |
| Ben Rice NYY | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Austin Wells NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cody Bellinger NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Trent Grisham NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jasson Domínguez NYY | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS