Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willy Adames

San Francisco Giants · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.27
Edge
Last 10
0%0/8 over 3 · 2 push
Window avg
1.40
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/18
2026
1%
1/80
Avg1.13
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.242.60423.8%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.136.23746.4%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.150.20044.4%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.314.38617.6%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.176.35334.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Willy Adames clears 1.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Luis Arraez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 77% · n=31 · -236 DraftKings
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=72 · -167 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 10 vs 3

official box scores
2vs OAK06/241vs OAK06/250vs ATL06/261vs ATL06/273vs ATL06/282@ COL07/031@ COL07/043@ COL07/050vs TOR07/061vs TOR07/073

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks1.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TOR Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jung Hoo Lee SF07/072
Drew Cavanaugh SF07/071
Heliot Ramos SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/070
Casey Schmitt SF07/070
Luis Arraez SF07/070
Bryce Eldridge SF07/070
Rafael Devers SF07/070
Casey Schmitt SF07/063
Bryce Eldridge SF07/063
Heliot Ramos SF07/061
Eric Haase SF07/061
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/060
Luis Arraez SF07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.2611.1791.667.6001.244.545.389.902.154
AVG
.091.357.417.233.415.250.167.293.077
onBasePercentage
.130.357.417.233.415.242.167.293.077
sluggingPercentage
.136.8211.250.367.829.313.222.610.077
Exit Velo
85.5993.3497.0285.2994.3791.1183.7591.9184.31