Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willy Adames

San Francisco Giants · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.89
Edge
+6.9%
Last 20
0%0/17 over 2 · 3 push
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/17
2026
6%
4/68
Avg0.89
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.242.60423.8%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.136.23746.4%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.150.20044.4%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.314.38617.6%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.176.35334.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Willy Adames clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jung Hoo Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=129 · -213 DraftKings
Victor Bericoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 59% · n=10 · -104 DraftKings
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=106 · -146 DraftKings
Logan Webb o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 65% · base 57% · n=26 · +111 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
0vs WSH06/090vs CHC06/121vs CHC06/130vs CHC06/141@ ATL06/161@ ATL06/171@ MIA06/190@ MIA06/200@ MIA06/212vs OAK06/230vs OAK06/241vs OAK06/252vs ATL06/261vs ATL06/271vs ATL06/280@ COL07/032@ COL07/041@ COL07/050vs TOR07/061vs TOR07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-125-106

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TOR Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Arraez SF07/072
Heliot Ramos SF07/072
Bryce Eldridge SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/071
Rafael Devers SF07/071
Casey Schmitt SF07/071
Drew Cavanaugh SF07/070
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/070
Heliot Ramos SF07/063
Victor Bericoto SF07/062
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/061
Bryce Eldridge SF07/061
Luis Arraez SF07/061
Eric Haase SF07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.2611.1791.667.6001.244.545.389.902.154
AVG
.091.357.417.233.415.250.167.293.077
onBasePercentage
.130.357.417.233.415.242.167.293.077
sluggingPercentage
.136.8211.250.367.829.313.222.610.077
Exit Velo
85.5993.3497.0285.2994.3791.1183.7591.9184.31