Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.39
Edge
+17.8%All 400 games
47%143/305 over 1 · 95 push
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
50%
3/6
L20
43%
6/14
2026
47%
32/68
Avg1.65
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .242 | .604 | 23.8% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .136 | .237 | 46.4% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .150 | .200 | 44.4% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .314 | .386 | 17.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .176 | .353 | 34.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Willy Adames clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Luis Arraez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 77% · n=55 · -236 DraftKings
Jung Hoo Lee o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=129 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Victor Bericoto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 59% · n=10 · -104 DraftKings
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 64% · n=106 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 400 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -108 | +108 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksdabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs TOR — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Drew Gilbert SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eric Haase SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo