Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Willy Adames

San Francisco Giants · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.27
Edge
Last 20
13%2/15 over 2 · 5 push
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
14%
1/7
L20
13%
2/15
2026
16%
3/19
Avg1.19
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.242.60423.8%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.136.23746.4%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.150.20044.4%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.314.38617.6%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.176.35334.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Willy Adames clears 1.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Luis Arraez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 77% · n=31 · -236 DraftKings
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=72 · -167 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
3@ WSH04/191@ PHI04/281@ PHI04/302@ PHI04/301@ TB05/011@ TB05/030@ OAK05/171vs CWS05/231vs CWS05/242vs AZ05/261@ MIL06/010@ MIL06/021@ MIL06/032vs WSH06/082vs WSH06/090vs CHC06/142vs OAK06/241vs OAK06/253vs ATL06/281@ COL07/042

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks1.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TOR Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jung Hoo Lee SF07/072
Drew Cavanaugh SF07/071
Heliot Ramos SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/070
Luis Arraez SF07/070
Bryce Eldridge SF07/070
Rafael Devers SF07/070
Casey Schmitt SF07/070
Bryce Eldridge SF07/063
Casey Schmitt SF07/063
Eric Haase SF07/061
Heliot Ramos SF07/061
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/060
Luis Arraez SF07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.2611.1791.667.6001.244.545.389.902.154
AVG
.091.357.417.233.415.250.167.293.077
onBasePercentage
.130.357.417.233.415.242.167.293.077
sluggingPercentage
.136.8211.250.367.829.313.222.610.077
Exit Velo
85.5993.3497.0285.2994.3791.1183.7591.9184.31