Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.05
Edge
-3.0%Last 15
7%1/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.07
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
4%
2/57
Avg0.07
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Davis Martin (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 26.0% | 92.7 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 17.9% | 90.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 14.8% | 88.7 | — | — | — |
| Slider | 14.5% | 85.3 | — | — | — |
| Cutter | 13.5% | 87.0 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 13.3% | 80.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Masataka Yoshida clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Jarren Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=16 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=16 · +168 dabble_us_dfs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 53% · n=15 · -200 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 15 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1160 | -1111 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CWS — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Andruw Monasterio BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Connor Wong BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Romy Gonzalez BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chase DeLauter CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Arias CLE | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cooper Ingle CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daniel Schneemann CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Travis Bazzana CLE | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |